Wednesday, September 06, 2017

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Diminished US Debt Ceiling Fears, Oil Gain, Short-Covering, Energy/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.59 -5.23%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.90 +.51%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.77 -.26%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.80 -4.94%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 126.0 +55.6%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -27.35%
  • NYSE Arms .74 +7.65%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 58.57 -.65%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 453.0 -.93%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 51.52 -.04%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 5.44 +3.72%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.19 +5.85%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 177.20 -.5%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 141.387 -.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.75 -5.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.75 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 74.89 +.27%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.06% +6.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 80.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $78.39/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -18.80 +.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 21.90 -1.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 23.90 +.8 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.79 +1.0 basis point
  • 13.7% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 1 meeting, 39.5% chance at Dec. 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +137 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +26 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +80 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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