Thursday, September 14, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Geopolitical Concerns, Technical Selling, Profit-Taking, Telecom/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.46 -.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.30 +.25%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.72 -.39%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 26.31 -.38%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 113.0 -26.13%
  • Total Put/Call .77 -10.47%
  • NYSE Arms .89 +22.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.43 +.69%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 420.0 -1.47%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 48.82 -1.55%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 4.93 -4.27%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 18.43 +2.7%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 172.76 -.07%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 141.87 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.75 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 74.76 +.21%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.05% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 83.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $73.99/Metric Tonne -3.36%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.60 +2.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 18.60 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 14.10 -5.1 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 +1.0 basis point
  • 13.7% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 1 meeting, 51.6% chance at Dec. 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -37 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating unch. open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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