Tuesday, November 14, 2017

Stocks Modestly Lower into Final Hour on Tax Reform Worries, Oil Decline, Yen Strength, Commodity/Construction Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.72 +1.91%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.40 +.87%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.14 -.49%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 19.77 +19.17%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 +4.49%
  • Total Put/Call .90 -1.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.57 +50.7%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.07 +1.34%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 371.0 +2.03%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.95 +1.98%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.87 +1.04%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 15.88 -2.82%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 193.82 +.55%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.34 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.5 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.0 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -46.50 +2.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.32 unch.
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.24% +4.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 69.0 -2.75 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $63.17/Metric Tonne +1.58%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 37.40 -.6 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 60.90 +3.1 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.30 -.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 -1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -40 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -26 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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