Wednesday, January 24, 2018

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Outlooks, Yen Strength, Profit-Taking, Airline/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.4 +2.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.94 -.26%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.02 -.87%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 33.71 -.44%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 97.0 -1.0%
  • Total Put/Call .83 +26.7%
  • NYSE Arms .54 -63.74%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 46.67 +.66%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 305.0 -2.20%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 42.26 +.37%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 132.0 -.75 basis point
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 10.58 -.28%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 113.50 -1.36%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 147.09 -.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.0 -2.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 30.75 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.5 +1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 76.38 +.86%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.43% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 57.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 73.15 USD/Metric Tonne +.80%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 49.70 +.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 58.10 +6.3 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 3.90 -.2 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.07 +2.0 basis points
  • 88.5% chance of Fed rate hike at March 21 meeting, 88.8% chance at May 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -190 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +37 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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