Friday, February 16, 2018

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less US/European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Pharma/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.39 +1.36%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.33 -.72%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.55 -.93%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.74 +2.93%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 100.0 +6.38%
  • Total Put/Call .89 -3.26%
  • NYSE Arms 1.11 +34.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.72 -3.23%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 382.0 -.84%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 51.20 -3.56%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 128.0 -2.25 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.62 -.98%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 120.21 -2.25%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 147.72 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.0 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.75 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -32.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 76.01 -.03%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.60% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 68.5 -3.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 76.35 USD/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 50.20 +15.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 35.70 -1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.50 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.10 -2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 2 meeting, 100.0% chance at June 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +130 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +389 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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