Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Stocks Reversing Sharply Higher into Final Hour on Diminishing Trade War Fears, Earnings Optimism, Technical Buying, Homebuilding/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.9 -1.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.49 -.2%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.28 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.9 +2.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 95.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 +4.8%
  • NYSE Arms .90 +45.0%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.15 -2.55%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 474.0 +1.77%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 65.61 -.08%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 124.25 -5.0 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.4 +1.28%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 135.48 -.62%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 148.60 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 31.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 57.75 +2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.5 -6.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 75.11 -.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.70% -4.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 50.5 +.25 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 62.24 USD/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 46.8 +.8 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -65.0 -4.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.90 -1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.09 +1.0 basis point
  • 79.4% chance of Fed rate hike at June 13 meeting, 80.3% chance at August 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +187 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +115 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +84 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/industrial/biotech/medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges 
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

No comments: